Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
W |
Eastern Michigan
|
52-27 |
1473.6 |
+11.8
|
1485.4 |
81.8% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
UTSA
|
43-36 |
1485.4 |
+49.4
|
1534.8 |
49.8% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
L |
Arizona State
|
15-34 |
1534.8 |
-20.8
|
1514.0 |
30.8% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
Nicholls State
|
35-3 |
1514.0 |
+0.0
|
1514.0 |
52.0% |
| 7 |
Oct 4 2025 |
L |
Arkansas State
|
30-31 |
1514.0 |
-60.7
|
1453.3 |
77.4% |
| 8 |
Oct 11 2025 |
L |
Troy
|
41-48 |
1453.3 |
-45.6
|
1407.7 |
45.7% |
| 9 |
Oct 18 2025 |
L |
Marshall
|
37-40 |
1407.7 |
-20.6
|
1387.1 |
30.6% |
| 11 |
Oct 28 2025 |
L |
James Madison
|
20-52 |
1387.1 |
-19.6
|
1367.5 |
18.0% |
| 12 |
Nov 8 2025 |
L |
Louisiana
|
39-42 |
1367.5 |
-34.8
|
1332.7 |
48.7% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
W |
Southern Miss
|
41-14 |
1332.7 |
+61.1
|
1393.8 |
34.8% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
W |
Louisiana Monroe
|
31-14 |
1393.8 |
+13.9
|
1407.7 |
35.2% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
W |
South Alabama
|
49-26 |
1407.7 |
+28.7
|
1436.4 |
58.8% |
| 20 |
Jan 2 2026 |
W |
Rice
|
41-10 |
1436.4 |
+26.1
|
1462.5 |
69.3% |